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Old 25th May 2007, 06:00 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
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With level stakes betting , one also have to pick a winner or two.
So we are back to square one again.

Here is a modified version of the Retirement plan.
Start the divisor at 6 then use in lots of 2 ...say target is $60.
6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 11 ect.
Regress one pt after each winner.
Restart once any profit is made.

Example of divisor used.
6 6 7 7 8 8 9w 8 8 9 9w 8 8w 7 7w 6 6w 6w 6w ect.
Never drop below divisor 6

$1000 bank
60 / 6 = 10
70 / 6 = 12
82 / 7 = 12
94 / 7 = 13
104 / 8 = 13
117 / 8 = 15w 2/1 $30
87 / 7 = 12
99 / 7 =14
113 / 8 = 14w 2/1 $28
85 / 7 = 12
97 / 7 = 14w 2/1 $28
69 / 6 = 12
81 / 6 = 14
95 / 7 = 14
109 / 7 = 16
125 / 8 = 16w 2/1 $32
93 / 7 = 13 w 2/1 $26
67 / 6 = 11
78 / 6 = 13
91 /7 = 13
104 / 7 = 15 w 2/1 $30
74 / 6 = 12 w 2/1 $24

50. Now in profit by +$10 O/L $290 = +3.45% POT. Time to start again.
Average bet size $13.18
Level stakes -1 = -4.5% LOT. $13 level stakes bets O/L 286 = -$13 Loss
7 from 22 = 32% SR
Chasing IAS Favs.

One could go back 2 pts if a 4/1 shot gets up. (Optional)

If the bets start making you feel un-easy, simply add two points to the divisor.

I diliberatly used 2/1 to make it difficult & also to avoid the one big paying winner thing, that commercial products throw in to make prospective punters eyes go big.
I am assuming ones average selections picks the odd 4/1 winner, to make this plan kick along.
Try it out on ones past results to see if it suits ones style.

If used properly, there is a greater chance of showing a profit over say a week using a sensible selection criteria, than most level stakes selection plans.


SELECTIONS
If your selections suck big time , one may like to check out this idea.
Target your favorite tipsters first selection, most tipsters SR are 25% accross the board through out the year.

Now, only bet their first selection if it's paying $3.20+ at jump time ,any less & its a no-bet for that race.
The reason for this , is that it is a bad idea to chase bad value.
You will also see how many of the short priced horses actually dont win.
e.g. Desert War at $2.20, its a certanty , cant lose , maybe the 2nd Fav at $2.90 is a threat.
Result , both fell over, beaten by some box headed thing at big odds..
At that price , they deserve to be both ignored.

Cheers.
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Cheers.
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