11th September 2003, 12:46 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 820
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Quote:
On 2003-09-11 13:35, Chrome Prince wrote:
Quote:
On 2003-09-11 12:47, umrum wrote:
i know there isn't much for lonhro to beat in the cox plate, but does anyone think he can;
1. handle moonee valley.
2. run a strong 2000m
3. sustain a run for longer than 400m
4. go with the field at the school.
5. stay on the bit.
6. race on the pace over 2000m.
cheers umrum
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Hi Umrum,
Everyone has a different opinion of Lonhro, they tend to say "he hasn't beaten much" or "it suited him" or quote his one run in the Cox Plate.
The bottom line is John Hawkes has done a brilliant job of placing him best where he can and does win.
To me: He is a champ!
In answer to your question:
1. I think he can handle Moonee Valley.
The track was not the reason for his defeat.
2.The biggest question is can he run the distance. He probably can now as he is 12 months older and more mature, but this is the biggest question mark in my opinion.
I wouldn't be taking short odds on him.
3. Sustaining a run for longer than 400m - I think Lonhro is a great middle distance horse but we are in dangerous territory beyond his proven distances.
4. Go with the field at the school, depends largely on how the race is run.
Last year they knew it would be a battle of Sunline vs Northerly and I suspect tactics had a large part to do with his defeat.
Yes, he lost by a long margin, but the tactics and way he was ridden did NOT suit his style.
Last year their only hope was if Lonhro could somehow come over the top of tiring horses, this was never going to happen, the way he was ridden.
I suspect they will never tackle a Cox Plate in this fashion again.
I.E. He will be ridden as suits him win lose or draw.
5&6 As Above.
Cheers.
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cheers c.p
interesting comments. i too think lonhro is a champ. i dont think he is better than northerly but we wont get into that all over again. the two most worrying things for me are that last year he ran past fields of omagh then F.O.O ran back past lonhro in the last bit of the race. And i think the distance is a huge query. I think all of his 2000 metres runs have been on class rather than him handling the trip all that well.
when i said the track i more meant the tight circuit rather than the track surface itself
cheers
umrum
[ This Message was edited by: umrum on 2003-09-11 13:52 ]
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