Hey Raw,
Good days racing, as it always is on Straddy day. Shame about the track being rain affected, but we can't really complain about the rain up here.
Race 1 - Like Devastating here. He doesn't like it when its firm now, but when the sting is out of the track, he seems to improve sharply. I think that in this field he can go close. Skyleda is obviously the danger given his wet track form. Byrne knows him well, so he'll just get him outside of horses and come right down the outside. High Academy is some sort of a chance, but i can never seem to get him on his day. He's been wide the trip at his last couple, so i'll give him another chance.
Race 2 - I'll stick with Roman Squire here, though the time he ran last start doesn't appear to be all that quick. Given that he is stepping up in distance and handles the wet, i'll leave him on top. Old Belevedere for 2nd. He handles the wet and it was a good run last time, the drop back in journey might suit him and he is right in this. And for 3rd i'll stick in Telegrand who is a mud-runner. He'll get to the outside and be running on into a hole at the death.
Race 3 - I'll go with Main Vein here. Has been winning in very good style in easier races his last couple. This isn't the strongest 3yo race you'll ever see so i think its a nice race for this bloke. Obviously the danger is Stirring who put in a top run in strong company last time and appears suited on the level weights here. Nice quinella i think. For 3rd i'll stick in Easy Rocker who has been running well in Toowoomba lately.
Race 4 - Really like Primal Impulse here. Loves Eagle Farm, goes well at the distance and can perform in the wet. Gets all the ticks for me. 6 or 7-1 is a nice price too. Aim So High is the danger for mine. Has gone well fresh in the past and can run good time on his day. Clevergaze for 3rd, who can run on well at the death if there is some good speed on.
Race 5 - Don't mind Key Bar Nights here. Its a bit of a guessing game with the wet, but this was a top run last time and if she holds that level, she is in this up to her ears. Falvalea can improve off the last run if she gets some luck. The run prior to that was super and a repeat would see her very competitive. Atomic Huss has ability also, and if she runs to her best, is a rough chance.
Race 6 - Think Xcellent is the one here. If he can handle the track and it isn't too chopped up on the fence by the time this race comes around, i think hes just too classy. It doesn't appear to be the best straddy, so i think that even with all the time off, he can win this. His win in the Mudgeway was super, and a repeat of that should see him home. Black Ink is a top chance if they ride him a bit cold. They led for some reason last year in this race and he race a great 5th, but i think he's better suited ridden cold and steaming home. Handles the wet nicely too, which is a bonus. Royal Ida is a super chance too, now that he comes to the bigger EF track. Handles the wet and might be the forgotten horse today. Chance at odds.
Race 7 - Don't mind Fort 'n' Won here. Has been ticking over nicely, the one problem is, though, he hasn't won a lead-up race yet. However, he gives ever impression that the extra ground will suit him nicely, and he has won in the wet before (with a lot of weight, too). So at good eachway odds, he'll do me. Sirmione grows a leg in Brisbane it seems. So if there is speed on, he is definately the testing material. Really like him. Resolution ran a good race at Doomben last time and he also ran well in the Derby over the ditch. If he can handle the ground, he is certainly there with a good chance.
Race 8 - Like Stylish Qualo here. I think that if he gets back with the speed on, he can storm down the extreme outside and win. Hasta La Ciao Ciao is the class of the race and can easily win this by 2 or 3 but i just don't like her at the 1000m...think its a little short to be confident. Top chance on class alone tho. Sequallan is good in the wet and can run time when he wants to aswell. Don't let him sneak under the guard.
Good days racing today with my best being Devastating, Primal Impulse and Xcellent with a good rough chance being given to Stylish Qualo in the last.
Good luck everyone,
Sven
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