16th June 2007, 05:57 PM
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Suspended.
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by wesmip1
Interesting stats :
Last start winners make up 8.90% of runners.
They win 13.93% of races.
Those that finished 2nd last start make up 8.72% of runners
They win 13.97% of races.
Those that finished 3rd last start make up 8.34% of runners
They win 10.77% of races.
Resuming horses make up 11.37% of runners.
They win 9.91% of races.
Interesting stats if you think about it ....
For instance just restricting yourself to last start winners and those that ran 2nd or 3rd last start you are only going to be looking at 26% of runners ( in a field of 8 this is only 2 runners) and you will be looking at a base set that produces 38.67% winners (almost 40% of races).
Good Luck.
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The problem I think would be having to have more bets than 1 to cover in a race, regardless which of the 4 types of runners above a punter might cover.
So to hit the stats figures over a series of say 1000 races [if you pick and choose your races or fail to cover all qualifying runners in a race, the stats go out the window], a lot of bets would have to be had and by the time you work out the base odds, it probably would be a shocker of an outcome.
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