16th June 2007, 06:00 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
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Quote:
The problem I think would be having to have more bets than 1 to cover in a race, regardless which of the 4 types of runners above a punter might cover.
So to hit the stats figures over a series of say 1000 races [if you pick and choose your races or fail to cover all qualifying runners in a race, the stats go out the window], a lot of bets would have to be had and by the time you work out the base odds, it probably would be a shocker of an outcome.
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This isn't a system. Is a set of statistics that may/may not help people improve their handicapping.
The idea is that restricting yourself to last start winners and those that ran 2nd or 3rd last start you are only going to be looking at 26% of runners ( in a field of 8 this is only 2 runners) and you will be looking at a base set that produces 38.67% winners (almost 40% of races).
ie. It can be used as an initial filter for handicapping. You can safely assume that you are looking at a set of horses that statisically has a higher strike rate. Tuhs reducing the time required to handicap a set of races dramatically.
Nothing is said about odds or the ROT.
Good Luck.
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