i do listed and group horses only. i dont do form as it is misleading.
form may be relative but i never found out what it is relative to.
i must be careful here as it may suggest that i back/fluke a winner occasionally.
i check the most recent performer in listed/group class (placed) and check the odds. highest priced is backed.
on saturday (i wasnt going to do this) century kid placed in group company 3 starts ago. won at 14/1 beating covet thee placed last start in group company.
edgeton placed 3 starts ago group company good odds. sunday joy won group one two starts ago.
can they win first up who knows but so what we have been wrong before.
sunday smoky island running in a flying at halidon won 3 in row recently in adelaide
listed placed horse would assume some sort of chance at halidon in a $4000 flying. paid $10.10
son of spartacus in the last at adelaide on saturday. only two listed horses in the race placed 1st and third.
today monaco miss the only listed placed horse running at seymour. paid $8.10 for a win. form is a diversion rather than a help.