Becareful,

Thanks for your reply. Was much as I expected re: the roller coaster on longshots.

I have had similar experinces although I used to bet all price ranges dependent on the horse/race. When I reviewed my betting I found that while those over 7.00 were shwoing a profit it all came from one winner! This worried me as you can hardly rely on jagging something at those odds. The effect these longshots have on your strike rate can not be underestimated and it flows on that it effects your confidence (because your are losing) and you will probably start to 2nd guess yourself etc. which is big trouble in this game.

So now if I like something @ a decent price I want to know why it is that price. Am I overrating it or underrating something else? From what I have seen if I can't figure why the horse invariably runs up to the market price(not mine). To me this means there is some other reason which the people who matter are aware of but I have missed or am unable to obtain. eg. a fitness problem which has caused the horse to miss work which has been kept away from the public.
Whereas if you know why the market doesn't like the horse but you don't see that as a problem then by all means back your judgment.

thekey