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Old 19th September 2003, 08:02 AM
Dale Dale is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Bundy
Posts: 292
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Quote:
On 2003-09-18 21:42, Chrome Prince wrote:
Hi Dale,

RULES
2YO HORSES ONLY (3YO's showed a massive loss)
Spell of greater than 30 days
Must have won last start
Must have won over the distance
All Trainers

Selections: 25
Winners: 5
Strike Rate: 20.00%
Profit: $5.20
POT: 20.80%
Ave Dividend: $6.04



thanks Chrome Prince but i'm a little confused,does all trainers mean the three you have already mentioned or all trainers either way there should be heaps more bets.

Also my theory with these horses relates to them having a proper spell of 90 days or more,this is important because i am looking at horses that the trainers are wiling to race sparingly because they have high opinions of them and don't want them to burn out too early.

A system to target these horse would go like this;

#10 race starts or less.
#Won last star before a spell of 90 days.

And posibly;

#Won at distance.
###Trained by a leading trainer/double the bet if trained by a leading trainer.

I have noticed Hawkes and Waterhouse are more willing than others to spell a good young horse after it wins but there also other astute trainers with smaller teams that do the same.
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