
24th July 2007, 11:19 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,430
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Silver_and_sand, yeah I know mate, but that got a bit too hard to go into, I often think of that when I see the Retirement Plan outlined, i.e. built to withstand a run of 48 losers, mmmmm! what about a run of 30 losers followed by a $1.50 winner followed by ???????????? anyway yes I agree with all you've said really, I was just supplying feedback PRESUMING a 48% sustainded S/R and 8% POT.
As far as Pre-post odds on etc. yes well, no stats to go on, but I'd take a stab that you would be pretty well break even , "if" backed at Top Fluc, and with a few filters .......... who knows.
Though your Graph, interesting but with a 48% S/R of course you would AVAERAGE 9.6 winners per 20 selections winners not 6 , if you only averaged 6 @ $2.50 i.e. LOT of 25%, well you wouldn't be in business for long would you?
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