
27th July 2007, 01:26 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Brisbane
Posts: 230
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Hello Wise One
In my view, the statistics should be viewed as "across the board" and not tweaked to accommodate races. Once you do that, I feel that the importance of the stats as a sole means of finding horses to support, becomes lost.
With the 3 horse in the one race scenario...I VERY rarely encounter that myself (in fact can't remember the last time I did!) I'd be tempted to bet on them all but that also depends on your staking method. Any more than 3 and I'd wipe the race.
You are spot one when you say that "make the selection criteria tougher" as that is what I would do if in your position. You may for example want to either really lift that win rate % or drop it completely. I don't use win rate % at all as I found that the place rate % (60%+) is a better guide to finding selections that may win or run a place.
This of course may not suit someone who bets win only. I bet 1 x 3 as I discovered very early on that your selection does not have to be first across the line in order to win money on the race.
Sorry that I can't be more specific but I can't give away too much here!!
Cheers
Privateer
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