
8th August 2007, 03:52 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 154
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Wesmip1
I have no knowledge of the resources you will use to do this stuff, but I was thinking if I was able to construct something what kinds of things would I try to do?
1 I thought about the pareto rule, you know, 20/80 ratio that seems to exist in many things. So if there was a nugget of finding to be had something that happens 80% of the time, and not 20% of the time would be very handy to discover.
2 Using a certain race, eg, maidens, and seeking out something out of that set of races rather than adding them to the rest of the class races or vica versa. That way there might be a sort of interesting outcome in an area that may (I'm not sure) have little research in but could have the least affected, (or most affected) punting biases.
3 Using a certain winner. By this I mean you look at a good horse with good credentials and then check it's neural 'profile' and then try to impose these criteria on the rest, to see if they actually come up with something.
4 Whether there are convergences that weren't thought of before. Say with those TAB tipters picking stats you have generously offered to people on this forum, is there some other external (to the tipsters) factor that converges and makes it more likely to have a winning result.
5 I can only think of the making of concrete to explain this, but have a sort of grading envelope. In concrete there are rocks and pebbles of many sizes, but they have been crushed to be within a range of size and weight to be ok in the wet mix. In the same way come up with a grading envelope that says the winners are within a set of two ranges usually. And other pairs of envelopes.
6 not sure if this is about sucking eggs but it's a research page on similar themes using greyhounds
h t t p : //ai.arizona.edu/papers/dogs93/dogs93DOTh t m l
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