11th August 2007, 09:03 PM
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Member
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Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 10
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very large field , every short price
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Originally Posted by crash
Lets think hypothetical. Just suppose some jocks wanted to rig a race result [no accusations here, just a theoretical exercise as we all know jockies would NEVER do such a thing], what size fields would they choose? Correct, very small ones [a hypothetical guess of course].
Have a look at races with 8 [usualy 6 or 7] or less runners and how many winners there are that are mostly the 2nd longest priced runner [the longest would usualy be too obvious] ..... anyone else smell fish [hypotheticaly speaking] or opportunity?
Just a few example over the last 3 days [only]:
4Aug. Rosehill r1/4 ROYAL DISCRETION 16.30 [longest odds 6 runners]
3 Aug. Ipswich r1/7 PUFF THE MAGIC 20.70 [2nd longest odds 6 starters]
2 Aug. Mackey r1/7 RATHER FIERY 13.90 [2nd longest odds 8
starters]
2 Aug. Hawsbury r2/7 RATHER FIERY 13.90 [2nd longest odds 6 starters]
They go on and on as fare back as you want to look at results and [seem to] happen very regularly.
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I have been told the larger the field and the shorter the price, the horse is , the more likely, the horse will win, I have seem a $2.. win in a 19 field very easily in a top race, which means the opposition must be poorer , in many melbourne cups the favourite starts at over $7 and often loses. it seems that a horse with exceptional ability ,will over come all negatives in a race and win , often in very small fields the favourite loses , last week in a 4 horse race, the favorite came last, in a big prize money, large fields race, the race is run often at a true pace , and the short price favorite wins.
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