View Single Post
  #2  
Old 22nd August 2007, 08:07 AM
Mr. Logic Mr. Logic is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 243
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dimboola
My idea is to pick a race with no more than 10 starters, leave out the fav and back 2nd, 3rd & 4th favs maybe dutching. What do you reckon?


Comment:
Guaranteed to fail. If it was so easy to win with something as simple as that don't you think it would already be happening? The ONLY way to win imo if you are win betting is to bet for value. That means you must have a method that let's you know with a great degree of long term accuracy, "This horse is no value at $4.00, but at $6.00 it is value. BUT this horse is value at $4.00. In other words you MUST beat the market. Not easy to do. You see most punters are only interested in "finding the winner and backing it." THey do not understand that the odds they get for each bet is CRITICAL to their long term betting success or failure. That's why nearly every punter loses money over the long term, even many who do not admit it."
Reply With Quote