
15th September 2007, 09:50 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,070
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Nothing funny about it...
Quote:
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Originally Posted by partypooper
Well, Angry yes that's a funny answer, but it still dosen't answer my question
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There's value on the back and the lay sides of the ledger. If you can't back at the price you want, then lay it!
I'm 100% with Top Rank on this. There's just too much subjectivity over what the term "value" mean's. For me I prefer to talk in terms of advantage. I know that over time my top ranked horse (regardless of it's rated odds) wins a certain percentage of races (A). Using the SP's I can work out how often the top ranked horse is expected to win (B). If (A/B)-1 if a positive number then I have an advantage, and I don't worry too much about the short term prices. It's how things pan out in the long term that matters.
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Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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