
3rd October 2007, 09:57 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,430
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Waggamick, some good stuff there mate, but just one thing you say that I don't agree with, i.e. QUOTE: If odds are a reliable predictor then why is it that only one in three favourites salute?
Well, to me if 1 in 3 Favs. salutes and after adding back the bookies take out, the exercise returns close to break even or even a profit, so I reckon that is an incredible prediction almost spot on in fact?? i.e. on ave. if 1 in 3 of 2-1 shots win isn't that the perfect prediction?
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