Welcome to the forum hardlyahawk. I think your on the money with Zavite [I'll pass on Cefalu winning this].

Geelong Cup

I did a bit of form study this morning on this race and I see everything in favour for the mid-pacer Zavite (NZ) (6) 55.05yo b h (A J Cummings ) M Rodd. There will be a bit of pace on from leaders Cefalu, Dane Empire [if he gets across from b16] and the 1st. emergency Iris in the Glen if she runs.

Zavite has won at the distance and will be 4th. start in after a slashing run last start for a 1.3L 2nd. to Master O'Reilly over this trip at Caulfield in the Winning Edge Stakes. Master O'Reilly is looking great for the Melb. Cup, so the formline for Zavite is very good for this.

A lot of horses in this race don't seem to be coming up to decent form this season and last starts for most of them haven't been inspiring or not up to this class of race. Trick Of Light ran 4th. last start in a Geelong 1700m open Hcp. worth $60k. His best run last prep. was only in a $45k race but he did manage a 2nd in a $100 race. Steps up 700m in distance for the Geelong Cup.

Sentire might be a watch as he was disappointed for a run last start at Flem., but still finished 4th. behind Dolphin Joe over 2530m [importantly, he has won 3 times and placed once from 6 starts at 2400m]. The Fuzz ran OK in that race too for 2nd place.

Anything might pop up in this but on recent form, Zendite takes the biscuit.