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Old 2nd November 2007, 10:26 AM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 11,973
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Now here's another betting strategy to look at. It's similar to Strategy 3, but not as selective. It's an idea I've been looking at for a while and it seems to work.

Strategy 4:

(1) Concentrate on races where the C/W RT selection and the FRM RT selection are two different horses. There must be one sole selection for each method, no equal selections.

(2) Back both runners, providing that they are the first two horses listed in the ratings. Also, the top rater must have at least 30 points and the 2nd top rater has at least 15 points.

(3) Again, only bet if the top two ratings add up to no more than 65 points.

(4) Bet the same amount on both selections. For the purpose of this exercise, we'll bet $30 on each runner, so we're betting roughly what we bet on the other three strategies.

Here's a recent example:
Quote:
MVAL 6 (AAMI VASE)
RT . ODDS . HORSE
33 . $3.0 . 2 BARBARICUS
30 . $3.3 . 1 MARCHING

12 . $8.3 . 3 DAVCON
10 . $10.0 . 12 THESANDMANCAN
10 . $10.0 . 6 KIBBUTZ
3 . $33.3 . 5 ON THE WARPATH
-----
2 . $50.0 . 7 PROTESTA
1 . $100.0 . 9 BEST BEWARE
1 . $100.0 . 13 TRULY BEAUTIFUL

C/W RT: 1 MARCHING ( 1-2-6-3 )
FRM RT: 2 BARBARICUS ( 2-12-1-3 )

MULTIS: ( 1,2,3,6,12 ) OR ( 1,2 – 1,2,3,5,6,7,12 )

As you can see, Marching was the C/W RT selection and Barbaricus was the FRM RT selection, and they were the top two rated runners in the race. This is the type of race we're looking for with this strategy.

Unlike the other strategies, we're betting equal amounts on both runners. This means that on the odd occasion, you might actually lose money on a race despite getting the winner, but it also means that you can get a great result if a good priced selection comes home.

Results so far this season using Unitab divs:

Aug: Races 12, Wins 7 (58%), Out $720, In $912, Profit $192 (26.7%)
Sep: Races 14, Wins 10 (71%), Out $840, In $1305, Profit $465 (55.4%)
Oct: Races 12, Wins 11 (92%), Out $720, In $1278, Profit $558 (77.5%)
Total: Races 38, Wins 28 (74%), Out $2280, In $3495, Profit $1215 (53.3%)



After looking at the past 3 months results, I guess my recommendation would probably be to use the Strategy 1 selections in conjunction with either Strategy 3 or Strategy 4.
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