4th November 2007, 01:06 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Queensland
Posts: 2,628
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This race is starting to look interesting the question is can Master O'Reilly handle a 2.5kgs rise in the weights from the Caulfield Cup compared to everyone else he met in that race, As impressive as the win was there were some excuses for the chasers and that is a nice turn around in weight out to 2 miles.
Purple Moon: looks very hard to beat as far as I am concerned his trainer is world class and by all reports he is flying got the right jockey on board as well as he usually gives a good ride in this race.
Maybe Better: He looks dour enough and the rain around won't hurt him but I must admitt I am going to find it real hard to back him I keep finding excuses for this bloke and at this point a bet on him on tuesday will be nothing more than a nice saver bet plain and simply I have ridden along this far might aswell follow to the final hurdle stranger things have happened.
Blutigeroo: I like this bloke here I know he ran in the Sydney Cup and was beaten but he has been trained for this trip this time around not to mention from memory I believe he loves it wet (I could be wrong) either way he is as good a roughie as there is in this I feel.
Sirmione: Can't believe I am saying this but he is not out of this drops beautifully in weight and is improving atleast yesterday was a shock tuesday won't be for me, he most likely will start unders however because of the Cummings factor so he will be included in multiples but that is about as far as it goes for me also likes the cut out.
Efficient: I still feel that he is a better chance than Zipping maybe I am nuts but he is more dour and will stick out the trip I consider Zipping a doubt of doing that, a bit of rain doesn't hurt his chances either another I have felt was right in this from he start not going to leave him out now.
Master O'Reilly: I know he won the Caulfield Cup but the penalties he has gotten just might catch up with him here, one thing to say here as with most races this spring expect the unexpected cause it has happened in nearly every major race.
This are not my final picks just quickly going over some that I like I am entertaining Mahler, Blue Monday, Gallic among others I just want to sit down and review some races and form before I get to crazy will post again either tomorrow or tuesday.
The Leaders in the race will most likely be Mahler, Tungsten Strike? (I don't know someone had mentioned that he can take up a position), Sculptor & Lazer Sharp wouldn't completely shock either in a race like this there will be speed from somewhere eventually I do expect Mahler to hit the lead though.
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