16th November 2007, 01:32 PM
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Suspended.
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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SANDOWN LAKESIDE Sat. 16th
After last week, I'm betting against the favorites here and avoiding the tired horses [lots].
r1 Plenty of pace in this and the backmarker Princess Marizza has a nice sit in b10. Good 2nd up and 2 from 3 this distance but will start fav. Sun Glaze is ready to win too but I might go with E/W roughy Assessor [BM], looking for a good track after 2 failures on the dead. Won 1st up and has won at track and distance.
r2 Plenty of pace here too and not an easy race. I like Just Curious 4th up. Struck b14 last start at Flem. so b4 here will suit. Backmarker Knockout from b12 is my best roughy.
r3 No much pace. I like Bold Moment [MP] and Rough Chance [OP] both ran close up to Gamble Me last start at Flem., which is pretty good form here for this at e/w odds. Both 3rd. up too so fresh. Pleasantsundaygirl the obvious danger.
r4 A lot of runners and a bit of pace. A messy field to wade through so I won't. My quick-pick is Escadaire [MP] with a nice weight drop and 3rd up.
r5 Let Go Thommo gets the class right and should just win this and go for a well earned spell. I won't be taking the odds though. Best e/w or place bet:
Gibraltar Campion [down 5.5kg].
r6 The Fuzz has been up for 7 starts and is up 4kg. Zipping is carrying the Grandstand [up 5kg] and must be getting tired too, so I'm marking them as a good lay bets! No pace here [won't suit Zipping] so I'm going for Cancanelle [MP] e/w and with Fire in the night [P] and Extend [P] for a quin.
r7 One of the top 5 should win this. Masked Assassin is the only one with a win at the track but has b15 and Zacroona gets b11 so they will be covering ground. Distant Melody in b7 and El Mandon b9 are my picks as they both run good time. Better than Shilling [b4].
r8 I'm going around Sharkbite in this as he has never won on a good track. Stickpin is 4th up and very quick over this distance.
r9 Another large smorgasbord of runners for this meeting. Bit of pace on from a few leaders here. I'm going e/w Collodi, one of the backmarkers who will relish the pace, wide barrier, big track and firm surface. 4th up and big odds.
Good Luck!
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