Morning Crash

Glad you didnt make an attempt in the first 3 races. A very tough day indeed.
7 of the 10 races have many horses having had only around 10 starts each to their name, meaning we have average horses with enough meaningful stats to show us what we should expect against horses on the up still building their profile. Along with an awful lot of x's around the current form this is very much a carnival day and punters beware!

One of my sytems came up with Cruffforme & i must say ..of all the horses in all the races today none will get a better run. Nearly all others (13 of the remaining 15) are backmarkers & with the scratchings this morning taking out 4 of the 6 'just off the pace runners.' This leaves just him & Billywing to run along at a canter. Drawn in 5 he wont be asked anything of him until very very late in the race and i just dont know if any of these will be able to make up the ground. If he cant place here under these conditions then he'd be a miss for the future. I am assuming theres no track bias in favour of the backmarkers either.

The Cup itself >> i wont be punting as i dont on Country Cups. However if you look back on the horses King Of Ashford has raced against it would put alot of these to shame.
i.e
11/06 Desert War -beaten 11.7 (Mackinnon) 2000m 58kg barrier 14/15
11/06 Gallant Guru -beaten 1.9 (Sandown Classic) 2400m 58kg barrier 11/14
2/07 Recaptialise -won by 2 1st up for 3 months 60kg
2/07 Pompeii Ruler / marasco / Aqua D'amore beaten 2.7 (St. George Stakes ) 59kg
9/07 Rubiscent / Miss Finland / Marasco beaten 6.7 (Underwood) 59kg
and of late 4l in the Toorak (Divine Madonna)
1.5l Coogney
4.8l Saab

Other then Sentire, who has been racing in some very high quality races of late i cant see these 2 being too far away at the finish.

Good Luck!