28th November 2007, 03:07 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,437
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by lomaca
Should we be Stix?
take out the $58 and see what's left!?
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Yeah, actually you should. 
Take out the $58.00 winner and you have a profit of 1,151 units which is more than 20% POT at TAB prices.
Divide the left over profit by the $58.00 winner that we took out and you get nearly 20 winners making up the profit over nearly 4,800 selections.
On top of that it shows a 4.7% place POT and dividing the place profit by the MAXIMUM place dividend also indicates more than 20 placings making up the profit.
Not many, if any systems can withstand dividing the profit by the maximum dividend and still return a healthy number of winners over so many selections.
Here's part of my reply via email to Stix which I'm sure he won't mind me posting....
Both these systems look absolutely terrific.
Although with the first one, there seem to be a few outsiders getting up,
the system viability is very strong to compensate.
I also think that it is a strong indicator that the place shows a profit
with both systems. This seems to instill a great deal of confidence in any
system.
Here's the quite amazing thing, if you were to add both systems together,
and bet twice on some horses, it looks like this....
WIN PLACE
Selections 10958 10958
Wins 2041 5088
% 18.6 46.4
Return 13305 11439
Profit 2347 481
POT 21.4 4.4
XXX this is 21% POT at TAB prices over 10,958 bets, I'm very impressed
indeed.
You've certainly found something special.
Well done!
All of this taking miserly tote prices, taking top fluctuation and using Betfair on the longer priced horses (considering many horses outside the fancies are more than twice the price on Betfair) the returns are absolutely phenomenal......if you're patient and disciplined. |