Thread: Betfair SP
View Single Post
  #24  
Old 17th December 2007, 02:01 AM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,431
Default

Burning the midnight oil to bring you all some revelations

1st December to 9th December

671 horses traded at $1.50 or less in-running (including 1.01ers)

Only 471 of these gas guslers won, leaving 200 horses trading at $1.50 or less and not winning.

A lot traded below $1.50, way below $1.50, but for this exciting exercise here's the workout.

377 traded at 1.01 and 4 lost giving no profit after commission.

352 traded at 1.05 and 16 lost giving no profit after commission.

414 traded at 1.10 and 33 lost giving 5 units loss without commission added.

327 traded at 1.20 and 35 lost giving 23.40 units loss without commission. added.

362 traded at 1.50 and 106 lost giving 22 units loss without commission.

They do get beaten, but unless you're selective, laying these blighters leads to the poorhouse.

Commission would also kill backing them, you might make 1% if your lucky.

Hope I saved someone some money.

The best scenario is to back early and trade out later as even if they look like winning 30% of them lose.

Imagine eliminating 30% of losers
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 420,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 30/06/2025
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote