
2nd February 2008, 05:21 PM
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Qld
Posts: 1,400
|
|
Geez, not much interest in this.
Thanks Pixie, certainly got off to a flyer today.
Crackone, close but no donut, well half a donut anyway.
I go through the form guide and any runner that has had at least 10 starts and a win % of less than 1:6 is a lay. I then add to this any runner that hasn't won in 12 months. That's it in a nutshell. I then add horses that I believe can't win regardless of strike rate etc, BR7 Spur Me On was the only one in this category today.
Then last minute I lay the horse closest to 5.0 or more, up to 8.0. If you want a simple lay system then laying just this one is profitable long term, funnily enough it was this category that let me down today.
I worked 20 races today, laid 7 winners, and won on 15 of the races.
After winning 10 of the first 11, I was +$111, but then lost 4 of the next 5 and was down to +$17, before winning on the last 4 to finish +$73.
Best win was BR7 @ +$26, worst loss was BR6 @ -$35.
New bank $5073, and bets stay the same.
|