8th October 2003, 09:17 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,434
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Hi Luckyboy,
Agree with everything except points 7 and 8.
Quote:
7. Last start beaten margin is irrelevant;
8. Jockey's are irrelevant- except in Sydney, wherein the top 5 jockeys account for the bulk of winners.
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Last start beaten margin is not irrelevant in my opinion, but the last three beaten margins are perhaps more relevant.
Do some stats on horses beaten by more than 3 lengths then by more than 5 lengths at their last start and you'll see what I mean.
It depends on your system or method.
If you statistically choose your runners, then jockeys don't really come into it.
But I will not have any confidence in some selections when a known duffer is aboard my horse.
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