View Single Post
  #59  
Old 9th October 2003, 09:01 AM
Luckyboy Luckyboy is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 114
Default

Hi All,

Sorry I couldn’t get back to your feedback last night...

Just to a follow up on a few points. The 'beaten margin last start' is an irrelevant statistic to look at in isolation. This was my inference and supported by a recent post from Chrome Prince

Quote:
On 2003-10-04 11:45, Chrome Prince wrote:
Average lengths beaten over last three starts is far stronger than lengths beaten last start.


I guess the real point I make by my statement is to look thoroughly at a horse’s current form. Last start failures can be overlooked if there are mitigating circumstances.

With regard to my point about jockeys, I stand by this finding. Whilst my use of the English language may have seemed illogical - the fact remains Sydney is the only racing area where there are OVER DOMINANT trainers and OVER DOMINANT stable jockeys.

I remain hopeful that with further success and increasing stable numbers trainers like Gerald Ryan and John O'Shea will bring about a more even spread of winning trainers.

And to answer your question Chris, the statistics indicate a current above average performance for Jockey 1. Does this make a difference to me? If I had to choose between two horses ridden by these respective jockeys in a Sydney race and one of the jockeys was in the Top 5 it would make a difference.

So do we open up the debate? I really enjoy socialising my viewpoints against others. It is a great learning environment.


Regards,
Lucky
Reply With Quote