Hi All,
Sorry I couldn’t get back to your feedback last night...
Just to a follow up on a few points. The 'beaten margin last start' is an irrelevant statistic to look at in isolation. This was my inference and supported by a recent post from Chrome Prince
Quote:
On 2003-10-04 11:45, Chrome Prince wrote:
Average lengths beaten over last three starts is far stronger than lengths beaten last start.
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I guess the real point I make by my statement is to look thoroughly at a horse’s current form. Last start failures can be overlooked if there are mitigating circumstances.
With regard to my point about jockeys, I stand by this finding. Whilst my use of the English language may have seemed illogical - the fact remains Sydney is the only racing area where there are OVER DOMINANT trainers and OVER DOMINANT stable jockeys.
I remain hopeful that with further success and increasing stable numbers trainers like Gerald Ryan and John O'Shea will bring about a more even spread of winning trainers.
And to answer your question Chris, the statistics indicate a current above average performance for Jockey 1. Does this make a difference to me? If I had to choose between two horses ridden by these respective jockeys in a Sydney race and one of the jockeys was in the Top 5 it would make a difference.
So do we open up the debate? I really enjoy socialising my viewpoints against others. It is a great learning environment.
Regards,
Lucky