5th February 2008, 12:58 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 219
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Bhagwan
.Target the 1st & 2nd Betfair Favs
.Target Jockeys with a 15% & worse SR at that track.
.Target Trainers with a 15% & worse SR at that track.
The selection must have a trainer & jockey with the above stats.
One will find a lot that fall over a lot.
Bet 1% of bank if priced $1-3.50
Bet .6% of bank if priced $3.55-7.40
No bet if selection is $7.50+
Cheers.
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Since I can't find stats for trainers, going off track stats for jockeys and 1st or 2nd fav on betfair as suggested by Bhags.
Ararat R1:
The early fav on betfair is B RAWILLER's ride, and he has more than a 10% overall strike rate and over 15% for the track, so his horse is out. 2nd early fav is Iblits ridden by B MELHAM who has less than a 10% overall strike rate, but a 20% strike rate at the track so his ride is not a selection. Will have to wait closer to jump before making a final selection (if possible) so the odds shorten.
So as it stands no selection for race 1.
Hmm 3000 for a back for Mr Quiet (Rawiller's ride).. someone thinks its gonna win. Update: guess not, someone who took that lay is a happy man!
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