Thread: Ratings maths
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Old 12th February 2008, 06:45 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
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Grand Armee,

I am currently testing a sort of mechanical method with real money in qualifying races where I bet half the field, less the fave, to Win using level stakes.

Admittedly there have only been 44 races (for 39 winners) but the POT on Win betting is currently 69.80%. I also box the selections (including the fave) in quinellas for a current POT of 40.80%, and trifectas for a current POT of 47.09%.

Today I missed Swan Hill R9 because I was not at my computer, which was a qualifying race. I would have snared the winner of $14.40, the quinella of $111 but I'm not sure of the $1,450 trifecta. This race will not be included in my results.

I am saying all this not out of conceit or anything like that (I will reveal the rules of the system if it continues to perform but will test the method for a much longer period of time) but just like Benny has stated it is not impossible to bet a large number of horses, but IMHO only if you have rules that select particular races.

Grand Armee, I fully agree when you say virtually every race - I believe you have to be selective in the races you chose.
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