Here's some food for thought Shaun....
I do a
lot of lay betting early, hours early on UK racing.
Usually, I'm well set two hours before the first race on all races for the day/night.
I've had to change my strategy completely due to several personal factors.
So I looked at it this way, 8 hours early, we might have win markets around 120% to around 110% and as little as 105% or less.
Those market will eventually go off around 101% or less.
Prices will have to move dramatically.
Sometimes, one horse will crunch in, and all the rest will blow out.
Sometimes two horses will come in and all the rest will blow out.
Sometimes a highly fancied horse will blow out and the outsiders will come in.
There's no real way to tell, but there are several ways to take advantage.
I would suggest, get your prices from a reliable source and lay them earlier than the 10 minutes out.
In poor liquidity and poorly priced, greedy markets, you might have a 50/1 shot only being offered to back at 20/1.
Get in there and offer your 40/1 or 50/1.
You might be surprised how often the bait gets swallowed.
As I explained, you have a slim to none chance of getting matched when the money comes into the market later, any matches will come from firmers - and you don't want that.
The early bird catches the squiggly thing that lives in the ground.
