31st March 2008, 01:10 AM
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Suspended for unsolicited forum advertising
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Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 31
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Would it be a fair assumption...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Silver_and_sand
G'day Sundance,
Congrats on your success thus far. An 80% pot is an excellent result. Just out of curiosity, can you share how many selections your system has had since you started tracking it? Also, what is your win strike rate and average price per winner? And what were the prices of your 3 highest priced winners?
I noticed that you don't include NSW in your list of states to consider. Do you have any ideas why your system doesn't work there? The only reason I ask is, if you can understand why, then maybe you will learn something that might help you with any future systems.
Do you know if track conditions have any influence on your selections? I'd suggest that wetter tracks tend to generate more inconsistent results than drier ones, and that restricting your selections to Good and Dead tracks only might increase your strike rate.
If you want to widen your selection method up a little, maybe you could get rid of the "last start winner" rule, and just stick with your "won 2 of the last 3 races this prep" rule. Doing this would help generate more selections for you.
Also, are you sure the distance rule is relevant? It just seems a little strange to me that your system would be successful within the 1,000 - 1,200m parameters and not so at 1,300m. Maybe you could get rid of this rule and end up with many more selections? Even if those qualifiers in races greater than 1,200m only returned 25% pot instead of 80%, the extra selections would help to further build your bank. Maybe you could just bet a little less on them than your original selections.
Oh and how sure are you about the "must have had 5 race starts" rule? Just an idea, but maybe you could just say "no 2yo races."
Anyway, that's all for now. Good luck with your system mate.
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Gday Silver and Sand -
Youve raised a lot of points and Im appreciative of your help/support.
I will endeavour to answer in detail some time Monday afternoon
Adios
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