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Old 18th April 2008, 08:07 AM
Stix Stix is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 3,012
Default The sky is falling.... Throw your hands up in the air...

The get out the darts call when a track is Wet is the biggest Phurphy in racing. Why?

Some horses that "perfer" the better going are often scratched from races because of the track being soft and not their ideal surface

Conversley there are horses that are scrathched or threatened to be scratched when the track is firm and fear of jarring up because it is not their ideal surface.

Some horses get through the heavy going better than others as some run better on top of the ground than others.

There appear to be a lot of people who use logic and (rating/handicap)methods when assessing races, but throw their hands up in the air when the tracks are wet.........why?! Why doesn't the same "logical" methods not apply to assessing selection on Wet tracks? Are the methods actually flawed?

Some people on this forum and the Horse Racing Forum say "NEVER bet on wet tracks". Is it because their method/stats/research doesn't stack up when the track is worse than dead..... Things like the following are offered up:
"Knew I shouldn't have bothered posting becasue of Wet Tracks"
"Bring out the darts, its a wet track"
"I go fishing/golf when it rains"

I must admit my method works in any condition (keeping detailed records since 2000). I'm not here to promote my method or record, just wondering why it is...

So I ask again..... are they biased against Wet track because their method doesn't stack up on slow-heavy tracks.... think the answer is YES!
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