Sportz

Yep, there are NO guarantees in racing, but sometimes you have to work with the information you have. A lot of people still bet on 2YO and 3YO race and first starters because of breeding (you hear things liek "Flying Spur progeny or David Hayes's 2YO's are flying at the moment"), and they have little to no exposed form and generally that is on the better surfaces.


Crash

Think this could be turned around and used the other way as well, in terms of track upgrades. Often when there is a track up/down grade there is only a slight difference in track condition, only where there is torrential rain would you have an accelarated track down grade and therefore lose confidence in the work you had done?


There are little idiosyncrasies and variables that can and cannot be factored into a method, system, handicap style etc.

In my obsevations over the years wet races also seem to have less runners than other races (Stand to be corrected) due to the scratchings. Surely this make the task easier, with less horses to assess?

Thanks for you post guys, but I've resigned to the fact that the wet tracks (avoid them at all costs) mystery and why wet tracks affect peoples selection styles/methods so much will continue to be a mystery and perpetuate through time.


All The Best

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Stix
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