Hi Quaddie,
If you had lay bet the Pre-post fav listed on the on-line Racingandsports on Tues 6/5/08 & Wed 7/5/08 you would have been fried alive.

Its SR was approx 38%

Sunshine Coast for example hit 7 from 8 pre-post Favs.

What one will find with these, is that the wins tend to come in batches followed by a couple of bad batches.
The bad batches, run of outs is always longer than the run of wins.

One will find days where the SR is terrible , then there will be one or two days where they seem to get up every second race.
I have seen days where 8 in row get up followed by a loser then 9 more in a row get up.
The odds of that occurring mathematically is something like 10,000/1
but it does happen.

At the end of the year it always averages out to approx 30% rain hail or shine , one could call this a recurring factor, but it sure does not feel like it when one is betting on them to win or lay betting to fall over.
It tends to change day to day.
I have seen days where their SR is only 13% & other days 45%
This can make it very frustrating for a punter who chasses them.

If one is going to bet the Fav in each race , try & do some form study to try & weed out the false Favs.

Maybe target Favs that are going down in class.
This will increase ones SR but the average prices will tend to be shorter as well.

Cheers.


Cheers.

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Cheers.