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23rd May 2008, 08:55 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,057
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I have looked at a further rule that I include in most of my form study and that is Average Prizemoney Ranking (APR).
From my previous posting if you delete all contenders, for the Melbourne races since start 2007, that do not have an APR of 1 to 4 i.e. must have one of the top 4 APR's you get the following result:-
42 bets for 16 wins (S/R 38.1%), Win Bank (for $10 bets) = $425.00 (POT% = 101.2%) using best of 3 totes or SP if better.
You eliminate 18 contenders but lose only 1 winner (paid $9.30).
From a place point of view you do lose quite a few good place dividends so I would suggest if you are looking at exotics I would include the APR rule to look for winning chances but would not include it if you are looking for place chances for the Tri's and First 4's.
Food for thought!
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