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23rd May 2008, 05:34 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,057
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Darky,
Thanks for clearing up the questions I raised especially about whether the total of the last 3 starts MUST not be broken from by a spell. This has certainly improved the overall picture - one I am quite excited about!
Using the rules as set out by Darky (except including 2kg claiming apprentices then the results for Melbourne only since start 2007 using best of 3 totes (or SP if better) are :-
50 bets, 16 wins (S/R 32%), 33 places, including wins, (S/R 66%)
Win Bank $422.00 (POT% = 84.4%), Place Bank $202.00 (POT% = 40.4%)
If we now only bet the selections that have an Average Prizemoney Ranking of 1 to 4 then the results are :-
35 bets, 15 wins (S/R 42.9%), 24 places, including wins, (S/R 68.6%)
Win Bank $479.00 (POT% = 136.9%), Place Bank $102.00 (POT% = 29.1%)
From an early look at Melbourne for tomorrow there appears only to be one selection M7#6 Maunatrice.
Let's hope it is a winner!
Try Try Again
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