
13th July 2008, 05:33 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
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Results for this idea, 9 meetings targeted .
Sat 13th July
20 from 70 = SR 29%
Ret 104
O/L 70
Prof + 34
Av price $5.20
Divs
$16.40 6.20 3.80 6.30 5.20 5.90 3.10 8.50 6.30 3.60 2.70 1.60 4.30 5.10 6.10 3.20 2.40 4.00 2.60 3.70
Interesting results so far
30 from 104 races = 29% SR
+$46.40 prof = 44% POT
Av price $5.03
Now according to the experts, this cant be done longterrm because the percentage is too high to warrant this Average price.
Maybe they are logically correct based on known form, but keep in mind we are looking at the reverse of known form, every form person will tell you a good form person will out do a systems person.
For this idea to fall over it would require the better form horses, which will have the shorter prices also, to suddenly over perform to their historical known ability in relation to its price. Which on past history, does not happen longterm.
I still feel no one will use it, even though it shows a promising result & its free.
So there is no fear of the price dropping, because its reverse logic.
One thing to keep in mind, is when a price drops, it also pushes the other horses price out & these selections will win only a percentage of all races, not all of them, a Bookie would not want to be caught out too much on known form horses at too higher price so as to balance his book.
To come back to the original question, would you sell a system fearing the horses price will drop?
The answer is .... Hell Yeah!
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Cheers.
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