
14th July 2008, 02:24 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 245
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hey again Bhagwan
This is most interesting, so what your saying is target the horse with the highest place strike rate, I assume this means win and place strike rate combined. And if this horse meets that criteria, eg.....2, 1........or 3, 1......it becomes a bet,....hmmmm.!
I must think about this. I've pretty much given up on mechanical type systems, as I mentioned earlier. The only other factor I look at apart from the "within 21 days" factor, is I eliminate a horse rising 3kgs or more from its last start.
As I also said I spend a lot of time analysing sectional times and watching the replays that I record from sky channel also. I usually pick up good runs from my spreadsheet where I copy and paste the sectionals in to. Then I watch the replays where you can look for "trapped wide", "checked in running" and similar.
I've now added a further formula to give me the tempo of a race. A run that I would have previously thought was good now might not be such due to the tempo of the race. Eg, a horse coming from the rear and finishing in what looks good times, however the tempo could be very fast for say the first 600m of a 1200m race, which then does not make that run as good as it appears. Or alternatively a horse that races on the pace or leads all the way in a very slowly run race and appears to win well, that run is now not as good as it seems.
But back to your thoughts, I must see what site gives out that info and have a sticky at it.
Regards
Paul
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