
26th July 2008, 06:05 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,057
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Hi Sportz,
Thought you might be interested in how I have used your ratings since you started rating only several races each Saturday (from 7th June 2008).
I only take note of your top rated horse's price. Any race with equal top rated horses is eliminated. I then eliminate all horses rated > $3.20. I have also ignored the WA rated races as there have only been 3 and I do not bet on WA races.
Results from the races left after these few eliminations are :-
107 bets for 43 winners (40.2% S/R) and 69 places (64.5% S/R)
Betting $10 win on each selection (Using Sportsbet Citybest+ dividends) your bank would stand at $408.50 (POT % = 38.2%)
Interestingly, if we break the bets up into the States we find the following:-
Adelaide 29 bets 14 wins (48.3% S/R) Bank = $181.00 (POT % = 62.4%)
Brisbane 29 bets 12 wins (41.4% S/R) Bank = $149.00 (POT % = 51.4%)
Melbourne 25 bets 11 wins (44.0% S/R) Bank = $90.50 (POT % = 36.2%)
Sydney 24 bets 6 wins (25.0% S/R) Bank = -$12.00 (LOT % = -5.0%)
Looking at Place results
Adelaide 29 bets 20 places (69.0% S/R) Bank = $29.00 (POT % = 10.0%)
Brisbane 29 bets 22 places (75.9% S/R) Bank = $96.00 (POT % = 33.1%)
Melbourne 25 bets 16 places (64.0% S/R) Bank = -$1.00 (LOT % = -0.4%)
Sydney 24 bets 11 places (45.8% S/R) Bank = -$62.00 (LOT % = -25.8%)
Obviously it is too early to make any rash decisions but if we ignored all Sydney races then we would have :-
83 bets 37 wins (44.5% S/R) Win Bank $420.50 (POT % = 50.6%)
83 bets 58 places (69.8% S/R) Place bank $124.00 (POT % = 14.9%)
You would agree these are more than acceptable returns.
Let's hope your good work continues and the results continue to run our way.
Thanks for all your hard work it is much appreciated by all who read this forum.
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