
2nd September 2008, 10:21 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 1,007
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Last Start winner :
From 10,457 races there were 3110 races that were won by a horse that has won last start. this is 29.7% Race strike rate.
There were 20,497 actuall selections which indicates that you are betting around 1.9 selections per race. This made a loss of $3459 if one places a $1 on each selection. The average win Div was $5.48 based on NSW tab.
Winners that won 4 in a row this preparation and have gone to win the next race :
In 21 months there were 93 bets that is about 1 a week. From these there were 18 winners for a 19% strike rate.
It did make a profit though 3% on turnover. or $2.4 if a $1 was placed on every selection.
I ran just 4 winners in a row just to see .......
29.3% strike rate pot -4.1% from 144 selections and 41 winners.
Michal
PS I only ran 1/1/07 to current as an indicator
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