Some stats I have been going over .

2500 races sampled.

50% of all winners in all distances came from 10-17 days last start.

1000-1100m
Resumers & 10-24 days = 83% of all winners.
Highly suspect - Any horse that has had 3 runs in 31 days.


1200m
Resumers & 10-24 days = 73% Winners.
Highly suspect - Any horse that has had 3 runs in 31 days.


1300-1400m
10-17 days = 54% winners
All other fitness patterns suspect.

1500-1600m
10-17 days = 54% winners
All other fitness patterns suspect.

1800 - 2000m
1-17 days = 86% winners
Highly suspect- any horse that hasn't run for 18+ days.

2000-3200m
1-17 days = 92% winners.
Highly suspect- Any horse that hasn't had a run for 18+ days.

If one develops the patience & discipline to wait for only the better betting propositions regarding fitness, one will have the percentages on their side.

One amazing stat was runners in backing up in 7 days had a terrible SR in races 1000-1200m which appears to be a myth buster regarding form.

NB. Quality experienced jockeys appear to really come to the fore in races 1800-3200m where tactics are very important.

Cheers.

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Cheers.