
10th September 2008, 01:42 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,428
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1000-1100m
124 wins /150 races
83%
1200m
438/600
73%
1300-1400m
279/500
56%
1500-1600m
323/600
54%
1800-20000m
302/350
86%
2100-3200m
276/300
92%
The idea is not to find an advantage or disadvantage .
The idea is to find a situation where one says that this horse should not win based on benchmark stats.
There will always be anomalies in any given race.
Like horses getting bumped & falling over
There will be the odd trainer which pulls something left field of what the stats say should not happen, but these sitiuations would not be more than 1-2%
The mear fact a 50/1 shot is present in a race does not mean they dont have a chance.
The idea is to see if ones selection is inside the stat figure.
If it is not, then the selection may not be a strong as it could be .
For instance , if one targeted Favs to win . The SR should improve to
35-40% SR If one feels that there wont be any advantage , start laying them & see how much money one will lose.
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Cheers.
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