
7th October 2008, 05:12 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,057
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Hi Sportz,
Thought you might be interested in an update for your ratings since I last replied (end July). These figures are since you started rating only several races each Saturday (from 7th June 2008).
I only take note of your top rated horse's price. Any race with equal top rated horses is eliminated. I then eliminate all horses rated > $3.20. I have also ignored the WA rated and NZ rated races (although the latter you did get the winner Princess Coup last Saturday.
Results from the races left after these few eliminations are :-
197 bets for 75 winners (38.1% S/R) and 132 places (67.0% S/R)
Betting $10 win on each selection (Using Sportsbet Citybest+ dividends) your bank would stand at $455.50 (POT % = 23.1%)
Interestingly, if we break the bets up into the States we find the following:-
Adelaide 49 bets 24 wins (49.0% S/R) Bank = $352.00 (POT % = 71.8%)
Brisbane 46 bets 19 wins (41.3% S/R) Bank = $138.50 (POT % = 30.1%)
Melbourne 58 bets 20 wins (34.5% S/R) Bank = $34.00 (POT % = 5.9%)
Sydney 44 bets 12 wins (27.3% S/R) Bank = -$69.00 (LOT % = -15.7%)
Looking at Place results (betting $10 using Sportsbet's Citybest+)
Adelaide 49 bets 37 places (75.5% S/R) Bank = $113.00 (POT % = 23.1%)
Brisbane 46 bets 35 places (76.1% S/R) Bank = $98.00 (POT % = 21.3%)
Melbourne 58 bets 37 places (63.8% S/R) Bank = -$23.00 (LOT % = -4.0%)
Sydney 44 bets 23 places (52.3% S/R) Bank = -$83.00 (LOT % = -18.9%)
Interestingly, if we ignore the Melbourne and Sydney results (is it harder to win at these venues?), then we have the following results for Adelaide and Brisbane:-
95 bets 43 wins (45.2% S/R) Win Bank $490.5 (POT % = 51.6%)
95 bets 72 places (75.7% S/R) Place bank $211.0 (POT % = 22.2%)
Again you would agree these are more than acceptable returns.
Let's hope your good work continues and the results continue to run our way.
Thanks for all your hard work it is much appreciated by all who read this forum.
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