
9th October 2008, 03:39 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,791
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Hi, Merriguy.
The filter of having at least 3 selections of under $11.50 (must be the Lay Price about a minute prior to the start in the Betfair market, I ignore the TAB markets) generally rules out those races that have a hot fave. I've never been keen on laying anything in these races. As a matter of interest, today's Gosford R5 had two horses under $11.50 where the Betfair fave (Steamy) was $2. The other horse under $11.50 was no.2 which would have been the Lay selection. Steamy did not finish the race and No.2 ran second, which would have been a bit of a worry.
Another filter that I've forgotten to mention - if at least two of the four Sky selections have been scratched then it is a no-race. One of the 3 accidents so far have been in this situation. Because I bet it, I include it in the results even though it was not a valid selection.
I have had not much action today. Only 3 races so far.
Otaki R5 no.12 - success
Bendigo R1 no.2 - success
Bendigo R6 no.6 - success.
Fingers crossed...
I'm keeping detailed records of the selections, such as placed/unplaced last start, field size, and a couple more. I would not be surprised if there are accidents in the larger fields because with a max of 4 selections they should be more accurate in smaller fields. Time will tell.
Edit - just missed Bendigo R7. The selection would have been no.8 which was unplaced - bummer!!!
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