21st October 2008, 04:59 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Yarra Valley
Posts: 241
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by moeee
The TOP Rater is the top Rater because it really is.
After the race, the Winner should have been the top Rater, because it won.
If it wasn't, then the Race wasn't analysed correctly, and the method used to Rate the horses needs improvement.
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With all due respect moeee, the BEST horse does not win every race. And conversely, the winner of the race is not the best horse in the race just because it won.
A true 50% chance will win every second race. It can be the 'best' horse in both races, but as a true 50% chance it will only win one. Just because it's beaten on the day by a rank outsider (who manages to win it's first race after 50 starts and is paying it's correct $50) does not mean that the $2 is no longer the best horse in the race, nor that $2 was not the correct price for that horse.
Cheers,
Chris.
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