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Originally Posted by stebbo
With all due respect moeee, the BEST horse does not win every race. And conversely, the winner of the race is not the best horse in the race just because it won.
Cheers,
Chris.
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With all due respect Stebbo, I never said the BEST horse wins every Race.
And the TOP Rater is not necessarily the BEST Horse in the race.
But the Top Rater should have run very close to winning the Race.
If it didn't, then there must have been an excuse, or the Ratings are Crap.
I rated a Race today and my TOP Rater ran Last, and my 2nd Rated ran unplaced.
They both began well and bumped into each other putting one of them out of the Race.The other may have worked too hard early.
The winner wasn't Rated a Chance.
Obviously the winner was capable of winning the Race, and I didn't expect it to perform at its Peak today.
And this is where most selection services go wrong.
Predicting whether an animal will perform at its Peak Ability today , or like in the Caulfield Cup, where the Top Raters didn't , for reasons that are obvious now.