
24th October 2008, 09:38 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Wyong , NSW
Posts: 1,139
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Hello all, Seems this is the best Cox Plate value wise in a long time!
Personally i can't see either favs winning, Samantha Myth has beat nothing in Sydney, she has never been put under pressure in any race, she has been getting back in slow paced races on wet tracks coming down the middle of the straight when in most cases the fence has been a no go zone. When the pressure is put on at the 800-600m mark i think she might be struggling. Massive unders at $3.80.
Now with Princess Coup we know she will get back which will probably suit with the way the race will probably be run but i doubt she has the early accelaration needed to put herself into the picture turning for home, she can reel of a nice last 100-200m sprint no worries but you need to be within striking distance turning for home and there are others back there with her who have more stamina and early accelaration. She has won once in 8 starts in Australia always running on into 2nd and 3rd and having that red siren that Raw Instinct says about Zipping. Unders at $4.00.
Now if Princess Coup is $4.00 how is Zipping $7.00? Zipping 3rd up into Cox Plate which connections have obviously targeted as the race to set him for, almost identical to Princess Coup but think might just have a bit more stamina and early accelaration to beat her home. $7.00 seems a touch overs.
Alamosa will get a perfect run from a great barrier, Should be sitting midfield with cover a great spot to win a Cox Plate from, however only been over the trip once finishing 5th behind Sir Slick in a strong race in NZ. Is a strong miler and finished of Toorak win strongly suggesting he will see the trip out. A top chance. Big overs at $12.00.
Big Mal's been schooled over the jumps in preparation for this and with blinkers added first time might sharpen him up for this. Whatever he does will kill Theseo in the process. Should bowl along and loves the Valley might be hard to run down if he can see off Theseo before turn. Overs at $12.
Don't be fooled by Cest La Guerre's early speed he has shown over here, has sat just behind speed in a few races in NZ last prep and from an inside gate has the chance to get in a lovely spot. Sectionals behind Duoro Valley were outstanding. Massive overs at $26.00.
Zarita is in the same boat as Cest La Guerre, could get a nice run close to speed, Cest La Guerre probably has a bit more brilliance though, although $26.00 is shopping nicely for her as well.
From the others Master O'Reilly is the only one i wouldn't be shocked if won.
Top 5:
Alamosa
Cest La Guerre
Maldivian
Zipping
Princess Coup.
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