Here's a simple plan:
Of the last 9 years, the Cup has been won by a horse which finished within 1.50 lengths of the winner (or won) last start over a distance of 2000m or greater 8 times.
All bar Efficient qualified.
Taking ALL qualifying runners and backing them over 9 years results in 70 selections for 8 winners and a POT at just TAB prices of 4.57%.
Cutting down the number of days since last start to less than 30, results in still 8 winners from 9 years.
A staggering POT of 24.07% backing all qualified horses.
In 2000 one would have snagged Brew and Yippio
In 2005 one would have snagged Maybe Diva and On A Jeune ($14.60 a place)
In 2006 Pop Rock and Delta Blues AND Maybe Better
2007 was a wipeout with no placings.
It's certainly worth some thought though with some huge Quinellas and Trifectas floating about on the day.
9 years
8 winners 24.07% POT
3 quinellas $66.60 $220.70 & $50.90
1 trifecta $1,040.00
Roll on the Cup
