22nd December 2008, 10:49 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 3,012
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Pauls123
Hi again folks,
I guess this topic has been rehashed over and over in here, but lately I've noted a lot of my bets are last start winners. Do any of the data base owners in here have any sort of stats on last start winners.
Maybe some possible extensions to last start winners could be:
· The last-start win must be at the same track as today.
· The last-start win must have been by one length or more.
· The horse must have the best Average Prizemoney Per Start in today’s field.
· The horse’s winning percentage must be 20%+
· The distance of today’s race must be within 200m of the last-start win.
· Today’s jockey must be Top 5 in the premiership.
This might be either getting out of control or becoming very selective,........any thoughts.....!!!!
Regards, Paul
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· The last-start win must be at the same track as today. Sel 13049 Win 2560 S/R 19.62 POT -14% Av Div 4.37
· The last-start win must have been by one length or more. Sel 28,825 Win 4900 S/R 17.0% POT -13.32 Av Div 5.1
· The horse must have the best Average Prizemoney Per Start in today’s field. Sel 9102 Win 2383 S/R 26.18 POT -16.1% Av Div 3.2
· The horse’s winning percentage must be 20%+ Sel 39265 Win 6532 S/R 166% POT -15.9% Av Div 5.05
· The distance of today’s race must be within 200m (-200...200) of the last-start win. Sel 47793 Win 7155 S/R 14.9% POT -16.9% Av Div 5.55
· Today’s jockey must be Top 5 in the premiership (not App only). Sel 49820 Win 7013 S/R 14.1% POT -19.73% Av Div 5.7
· All criteria Sel 582 Win 206 S/R 35.4% POT -14.3 Av Div 2.42
I know it doesn't exist until posted and vetted on the propun forum for a minimum of 181 days, but I have a system for last start winners and if you exclude (for what ever reason) 1200m races, it does exceptionally well, may be well worth considering....
I'd also restrict the age to 5yo or less. 
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