Thread: Runs of outs
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Old 27th December 2008, 03:54 AM
Bhagwan Bhagwan is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
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Some Examples
We always divide our run of outs figure, into 20% (of bank.)
This gives us our max draw down percentage if this should occur, which still leaves us with 80% of bank to work with.

Win SR of 25%
According to out chart, we should expect 24 outs in a row at some stage so lets be prepared.

24 outs / 20% max draw down of bank if this should occur.
24 / 20 = Bet should be 0.8% of bank on each selection

Lay the Favs at 70% success rate of them falling over for us.
We have a SR of 70% we should prepare for a run of outs of 6 bets in a row going against us.

6 / 20 = Bet Liability 3.33% of bank for each race.
e.g. $3.33 Liability for each race, on a $100 bank
We now divide our Lay selections fractional odds into the $3.33
e.g. Selection is 2/1 divided into $3.33 = $1.66 O/L for that race.

This can be used as a guide for punters who like to do level stakes betting.
Most punters lose because they are betting a percentage to bank that is way too high to the risk percentage they are dealing with.


Cheers.
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