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Old 26th January 2009, 09:32 PM
Tonymess Tonymess is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
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The other two Quarter Finals

Simon, Gilles 3.16 vs NADAL, RAFAEL 1.46 - H2H 2-1 in Nadal's favour. Simon 22 wins and 18 losses to lefties (includes the 3 matches against Nadal)

TSONGA, JO-WILFIED 2.47 vs VERDASCO, FERNANDO 1.68 - Not played before, Tsonga 23 wins and 12 losses to lefties, will find this one a tough opponent.

As we get late into these events the prices do tighten up as my ratings will improve for any player who can win 4 matches in a row (especially in the best of 5 scenario). I anticipate Verdasco being big value (books will probably have it the other way around), question is can he back up after a hard one in the heat of the day against a bloke who has a three setter in the cool of the evening (even if his back is giving him trouble).

All the roughies (bookmaker ones that is) will be considered value in my pricing, but the problem is we have them opposing three Slam winners and a Slam Finalist with Roddick being the only roughie who has made it at this level.

In my opinion probably better to leave these matches alone, unless you fancy laying each of the favourites in straight sets.

Cheers

Tony
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