7th February 2009, 04:05 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Feb 2009
Posts: 10
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[QUOTE=AngryPixie]Huh?? 
Quote:
Crazy that logic really doesn't make sense. The result of one race has no effect on the result of another. That's the Gamblers Fallacy. 
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The way i see it is with the coin toss you have a 50% chance on landing heads or tails which is pretty good odds and it would not be that hard to get 4 of either.
But with horse racing your horse is up against a lot more than a 50% chance in a race, and add the hundreds of factors that can determine the horses chances and it makes it a lot harder to pick 4 in a row.
If i tossed a coin 800 times and it came up 4 in a row 10 times i could understand that,but if i selected 200 quaddies with 1 horse in each leg i just couldn't see 10 of them coming in.
Maybe they would i havent tried it,but i just couldnt see it happening  |